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.2%。这一预测建立在当前已观察到的燃油价格上涨以及期货市场定价基础之上，同时考虑了运输、机票和食品等高能源密集型领域的成本转嫁效应。　　值得注意的是，当前形势与2022年有本质区别。那一年，新冠疫情叠加俄乌冲突同样推高了能源价格，但当时新西兰国内需求正处于强劲扩张阶段，进一步放大了通胀压力。如今，需求相对疲弱，闲置生产能力依然存在，这在一定程度上限制了成本向终端价格的全面转嫁。然而，如果企业和劳

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